June 17 Natural Gas Community – Probabilistic Risk for Distribution Pipelines
Join the Natural Gas Community on Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM CT for a presentation with Q&A/open discussion on “Probabilistic Risk for Distribution Pipelines” led by Dylan Karaus, Pipeline Integrity Program Manager at Avista.
Session Description:
Evaluation of risk has been a federal requirement for all distribution pipeline operators since 2011. Since this requirement, the gas industry has progressed from qualitative risk models to quantitative risk, where probabilistic risk is the new gold standard for calculating pipeline risk.
This session will give a high-level overview of probabilistic risk on distribution pipelines. It will cover data inputs, basic methodology, risk units, and outputs. If time allows, we can discuss how results are interpreted and applied. This includes risk-based project prioritization and bolstering rate recovery for large capital projects.
*UAI Utility Members can register and access all nine of our Analytics Communities via our Community Page. Not a part of the Natural Gas Community and want to join this session? Please use our direct link here to request access. You will find the Teams meeting credentials to the upcoming meeting at the top of the feed on this page. If you have any questions or run into any issues, please contact us at info@utilityanalytics.com.